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Paul the Octopus

Common octopus used to predict the results of association football matches

Paul the Octopus (26 January [1]&#;– 26 October ) was a common octopus used to predict the results of association football matches. Accurate predictions in the World Cup brought him worldwide attention as an animal oracle.

During divinations, Paul's keepers would present him with two boxes containing food. The boxes were identical except that they were decorated with the different team flags of the competitors in an upcoming football match. Whichever box Paul ate from first was considered his prediction for which team would win the match.

His keepers at the Sea Life Centre in Oberhausen, Germany, mainly tasked him with predicting the outcomes of international matches in which the Germany national football team was playing. Paul correctly chose the winning team in four of Germany's six Euro matches, and all seven of their matches in the World Cup—including Germany's third place play-off win over Uruguay on 10 July. He also correctly chose Spain as the winner of the FIFA World Cup final.[2] In all, Paul amassed an overall record of 12 correct predictions out of a success rate of approximately %.

Life[edit]

Paul was hatched from an egg at the Sea Life Centre in Weymouth, England, and was then moved to a tank at one of the chain's centres at Oberhausen in Germany.[3] Paul's name derived from the title of a poem by the German children's writer Boy Lornsen: Der Tintenfisch Paul Oktopus.[4]

According to Sea Life's entertainment director, Daniel Fey, Paul demonstrated intelligence early in life: "There was something about the way he looked at our visitors when they came close to the tank. It was so unusual, so we tried to find out what his special talents were."[5]

The animal rights organisation PETA commented that octopuses are some of the most intelligent of invertebrates, with complex thought processes, long- and short-term memories, and different personalities. They can use tools, learn through observation, and are particularly sensitive to pain, according to the group. They said it would be cruel to keep Paul in permanent confinement. Sea Life Centres responded that it would be dangerous to release him, because he was born in captivity, and was not accustomed to finding food for himself.[6]

Following Paul's rise to fame, businessmen in Carballiño, a community in Galicia, collected about €30, for a "transfer fee" to get Paul as main attraction of the local Fiesta del Pulpo festival.[7] Manuel Pazo, a fisherman and head of the local business club assured people that Paul would be presented alive in a tank and not on the menu. Sealife rejected the offer nevertheless.[8]

Paul was last checked by staff on 25 October , and was in good health, but the following morning he was found dead. He was aged two-and-a-half, a normal lifespan for the species. His agent, Chris Davies, said "It's a sad day. Paul was rather special but we managed to film Paul before he left this mortal earth". Sea Life Centre manager Stefan Porwoll remembered Paul as an octopus who had "enthused people across every continent".[9][10]

Divination[edit]

Paul choosing Spain over Germany for his semi-final prediction

Paul's career as an oracle began during the UEFA Euro tournament.[3][11] In the lead-up to Germany's international football matches, Paul was presented with two clear plastic boxes, each containing food: a mussel or an oyster. Each container was marked with the flag of a team, one the flag of Germany, and the other the flag of Germany's opponent. The box which Paul opened first (and ate its contents) was deemed to be the predicted winner of the match.[12] There was no method for Paul to pick a draw, despite this being a possible outcome for group stage matches.

Professor Chris Budd, of the University of Bath, and Professor David Spiegelhalter, of Cambridge University, both compared Paul's success to a run of luck when tossing a coin.[13] Under the hypothesis that Paul was equally likely to choose the winner or the loser of a match, and neglecting the possibility of a draw, he had a 1 in 2 chance of predicting a single result and a 1 in 64 chance of predicting six in a row. This feat would be unlikely to happen by chance alone, but not hugely so. Spiegelhalter points out that there are "other animals that have attempted but failed to predict the outcome of football matches"; it is not remarkable that one animal is more successful than the others, and only the successful animals will gain public attention after the fact.[13]

There was discussion as to whether differences in flags design could have influenced Paul[14][15][16][17] (despite Octopus vulgaris being almost certainly colour blind[18]), or whether he could have been choosing boxes based on differences in their smell.[19][16]

Results[edit]

Flag of Germany: A horizontal tricolour of black, red and gold

Germany (11)

Flag of Spain: A horizontal tricolour of red, yellow and red, the yellow stripe being twice the size of each red stripe and containing the coat of arms

Spain (2)

Flag of Serbia: A horizontal tricolour of red, blue. and white, with the lesser coat of arms

Serbia (1)

Flags picked by Paul over both competitions

UEFA Euro [edit]

In UEFA Euro , Paul predicted Germany to win all of their games, a correct prediction in 4 out of 6 cases. He failed to predict their defeats by Croatia in the group stage,[20] and by Spain in the championship's final.[3][nb 1]

FIFA World Cup[edit]

Paul choosing Spain over Netherlands for the final match

Paul's accurate choices for the World Cup, broadcast live by German news channel n-tv, endowed him with celebrity status.[3] Paul predicted the winners of each of the seven FIFA World Cup matches that the German team played, against Australia, Serbia, Ghana, England, Argentina, Spain,[22] and Uruguay. His prediction that Argentina would lose prompted Argentine chef Nicolas Bedorrou to post an octopus recipe on Facebook.[3]

There are always people who want to eat our octopus but he is not shy and we are here to protect him as well. He will survive.

—&#;Oliver Walenciak (Paul's keeper)[23]

Paul correctly predicted the outcome of the semi-final, by choosing the food in the box marked with the Spanish flag. German supporters drew hope from his incorrect choice for the Germany versus Spain match in the UEFA Euro but were disappointed.[24] The prediction led to German fans calling for Paul to be eaten.[25][26] In response, the Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero offered to send Paul official state protection, and the Industry Minister Miguel Sebastian called for Paul to be given safe haven in Spain.[27][28]

Paul's notoriety attracted criticism from the President of Iran, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, who accused him of being a symbol of Western decadence and decay.[29]

Doubts were expressed as to whether "Paul" was actually the same octopus in both and [30]

Similar predictors[edit]

Memorial to Paul at the Sea Life Centre in Oberhausen

Some other German oracles did not fare so well in the World Cup. The animals at the Chemnitz Zoo were wrong on all of Germany's group-stage games, with Leon the porcupine picking Australia, Petty the pygmy hippopotamus spurning Serbia's apple-topped pile of hay, and Anton the tamarin eating a raisin representing Ghana.[35][36]

Mani the parakeet of Singapore became famous for correctly predicting the results of all four quarter-final matches. Mani contradicted Paul by picking the Netherlands to win the final, resulting in some media outlets describing the game as an "octopus-versus-parakeet showdown".[37][38]

Rabio the Octopus who correctly predicted the results of all of Japan’s group stage games at the FIFA World Cup, was killed and sent to market, on 2 July by the Japanese fisherman who had caught it.[39]

Legacy[edit]

In , uTouchLabs developed an iPhoneapp called "Ask the Octopus".[40]

A Chinese thriller film Kill Octopus Paul depicts Paul's predictions as being part of an international match-fixing scheme.[41]

On 17 June , during the FIFA World Cup, Paul was featured in a Google "doodle". He was represented as in heaven, perched on a billowy bed of clouds and adorned with a halo; when animated, he appeared to vacillate in his predictions for the day's matches.[42] Paul was again featured on 13 July in the doodle for the final. In that doodle, clicking on the clouds in the upper left brings up an image of Paul, similar to that in the earlier doodle, "cheering" on the final from heaven.[43]

References[edit]

  1. ^"Muere el pulpo Paul [Paul the Octopus dies]". El País. 26 October Retrieved 18 June
  2. ^Christenson, Marcus. "Psychic octopus Paul predicts Spain to beat Holland in World Cup final", The Guardian, 9 July
  3. ^ abcdefg"World Cup 10 things you didn't know about Paul the psychic octopus", The Daily Telegraph, London, 7 July , archived from the original on 22 June , retrieved 12 June
  4. ^Published in Das alte Schwein lebt immer noch: Boy Lornsens Tierleben, Schneekluth (), ISBN&#; Republished in and eponymous with the anthology Der Tintenfisch Paul Oktopus. Gedichte für neugierige Kinder, , Manfred Boje Verlag ISBN&#;
  5. ^"Paul the World Cup 'psychic' octopus: Rock The Week &#". Metro. UK. Retrieved 12 June
  6. ^Ruf, Cory (8 July ), "PETA demands Paul, the World Cup-predicting octopus, be set free", National Post, retrieved 9 July
  7. ^bieten Euro Ablösesumme für "Pulpo Paul"[permanent dead link] FTD 10 July
  8. ^Kraken-Orakel vs. Propheten-Papagei FR online nach einer DPA Meldung, 8 July
  9. ^"Paul the World Cup octopus dies in his tank in Germany". BBC. 26 October Retrieved 22 February
  10. ^Branigan, Tania; Connolly, Kate; Jones, Sam (26 October ). "Paul the octopus is dead – but conspiracy theories are thriving". The Guardian. London. Retrieved 22 February
  11. ^"Paul the octopus chooses Spain over Germany". IOL. 6 July Retrieved 8 July
  12. ^Erskine, Carole (25 June ), Psychic Octopus to Predict England Result, Sky News, archived from the original on 28 June , retrieved 9 July
  13. ^ abShenker, Sarah (9 July ), What are the chances Paul the octopus is right?, BBC News, retrieved 9 July
  14. ^Grieshaber, Kirsten (6 July ), "Tentacle trauma: Paul the octopus says Spain will sink Germany at World Cup", Associated Press Newswires, Factiva&#;APRSel9
  15. ^"Weymouth's psychic octopus Paul is no sucker", Dorset Echo, 9 July , Factiva&#;NQTCEet, retrieved 10 July
  16. ^ abGerman octopus predicts Spanish victory in World Cup, RIA Novosti, 9 July , Factiva&#;RVESENee2, retrieved 10 July
  17. ^Farivar, Cyrus (9 July ), Martin Kuebler (ed.), Octopuses have a well-developed brain, are attracted to colors and are 'delicious', Deutsche Welle, retrieved 10 July
  18. ^Lydia M. Mäthger; Alexandra Barbosa; Simon Miner; Roger T. Hanlon (), "Color blindness and contrast perception in cuttlefish (Sepia officinalis) determined by a visual sensorimotor assay", Vision Research, 46 (11): –, doi/mlbjerseyschina.us, PMID&#;, S2CID&#;
  19. ^"Darum hat sich Krake Paul für Spanien entschieden", Die Welt (in German), 8 July , retrieved 9 July
  20. ^ ab"Wie endet die Partie Deutschland – Kroatien?: Tier-Orakel sind sich uneins", Der Westen, 11 June , retrieved 9 July
  21. ^Armstrong, Paul (9 July ), Would you trust World Cup's octopus oracle?, CNN, retrieved 9 July
  22. ^Shenker, Sarah (9 July ). "What are the chances Paul the octopus is right?". BBC News. Retrieved 9 July
  23. ^ abHyde, Thomas (7 July ), "Germany v Spain: Psychic octopus Paul unfazed by death threats, says keeper", The Daily Telegraph, London, archived from the original on 10 July , retrieved 9 July
  24. ^Octopus Paul predicts Spain over Germany in WCup, 6 July , archived from the original on 9 July
  25. ^Breitenbach, Dagmar (8 July ), Fry Paul the oracle octopus, German fans say, Deutsche Welle, retrieved 9 July
  26. ^Abrams, David (8 July ), Germans Eat Paul The Octopus, mlbjerseyschina.us, archived from the original on 12 July
  27. ^"Spanish PM Jose Zapatero offers Paul the psychic octopus state protection". Herald Sun. 8 July Retrieved 9 July
  28. ^"Paul the psychic octopus predicts Spain will beat Holland". The Daily Telegraph (London), 9 July
  29. ^"Mahmoud Ahmadinejad attacks Octopus Paul". The Daily Telegraph. 27 July Retrieved 17 June
  30. ^"Don't Mess with the Octopus: Oracle Paul Celebrates Perfect World Cup Record", Der Spiegel, 12 July
  31. ^ abcSnyder, Whitney (24 June ), "World Cup Octopus: Paul's Predictions Stun Germany", The Huffington Post
  32. ^'Psychic' octopus predicts Germany victory over England, BBC News, 25 June
  33. ^"Paul The Octopus Predicts Spain Will Beat Germany", The Globe and Mail, Toronto, 7 July , archived from the original on 9 July
  34. ^Christenson, Marcus (9 July ), "Psychic octopus Paul predicts Spain to beat Holland in World Cup final", The Guardian, London
  35. ^"World Cup Forecasts: Paul the Octopus Predicts a German Advance", Spiegel Online International, 23 June , Factiva&#;SPIONe66nz, retrieved 10 July
  36. ^Binational octopus Paul predicts German win over England in next WCup game, Associated Press, 25 June , Factiva&#;APRSe66pd2, retrieved 10 July
  37. ^"World Cup Final a Battle of Octopus vs. Parakeet". CBS News. 9 July
  38. ^"Octopus Paul vs Mani the parakeet: Who will triumph?". Yahoo! Singapore. 10 July Archived from the original on 12 July
  39. ^Octopus Rabio's tipping tentacles on target for all Japan's World Cup Games
  40. ^"Paul The Octopus Gets An iPhone App". The Huffington Post. 14 September
  41. ^"Movie "Kill Octopus Paul" takes look at soccer betting". Reuters. 29 October Retrieved 7 October
  42. ^Curtis, Sophie (17 June ). "Belgium vs Algeria Google doodle remembers Paul the 'psychic' Octopus". The Daily Telegraph. Retrieved 17 June
  43. ^"Is today's World Cup final Google doodle carrying a hidden message?". Outside of the Boot. 13 July Retrieved 13 July
Footnotes
  1. ^Some later sources reported his success rate at 80%.[21]

Further reading[edit]

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  7. SM-MF - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  8. SM-MG - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  9. SM-MF - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  10. SM-MFN - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  11. SM-MG - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  12. SM-MM - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  13. SM-MF - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  14. SM-MM - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  15. SM-AF - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  16. SM-AF - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  17. SM-AFN - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  18. SM-AG - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  19. SM-AGN - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  20. SM-AGT - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  21. SM-AF - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  22. SM-AFN - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  23. SM-AFM - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  24. SM-AG - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  25. SM-AGN - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  26. SM-AGT - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot Download/Recovery mode
  27. SM-TV - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot in Recovery/Download mode
  28. SM-TK - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot in Recovery/Download mode
  29. SM-TL - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot in Recovery/Download mode
  30. SM-TS - added Read Codes, Read/Write Security, Read/Write EFS, Write Firmware, Reboot in Recovery/Download mode


Improved operations for the following devices:

  1. SM-GU - improved Sprint Unlock (Android supported)
  2. SM-GU - improved Sprint Unlock (Android supported)
  3. SM-GT - improved Unlock operation
  4. SM-GT1 - improved Unlock operation
  5. SM-GT - improved Unlock operation
  6. SM-GT1 - improved Unlock operation
  7. SM-GT - improved Unlock operation
  8. SM-GT - improved Unlock operation

                                                                   DOWNLOAD

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